No president since Harry Truman has ruled at a time of greater change in the international system. The very foundation of Europe is cracking apart, the Iranian gambit for regional domination is faltering, the Global War on Terror is winding down, and shale energy is opening up new economic and strategic opportunities. Taken together the post-Cold War era is in its final months. Zeihan plays events forward and sketches out how the Obama administration will choose to -- and be forced to -- apply American power in the months and years to come.
The Syrian civil war has entered its endgame, and the end of Alawite dominance heralds a geopolitical restructuring of the broader region. Iran's gambit to dominate the Persian Gulf has faltered, and will likely fail, ushering in changes that will undermine America's enemies and allies alike.
The advent of the shale era is remaking the American energy complex. While self-sufficiency is a bridge too far, the combination of at-home investment and a lower need for Middle Eastern involvement frees up considerable American resources. The result will be a different sort of American economy, a different sort of American diplomacy, and a different role for the United States on the global stage.
OKC Town Hall - Mar 20 2023
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